Week 2 odds picks Rams-Eagles line plumm
Last Friday, we took a gander at , which William Hill Sportsbook had available for betting for anyone paying attention beyond Week 1. Those lookahead lines provided ample opportunity to get ahead of the game on mispriced matchups identified by making an educated gue s on how the first Sunday would play out. For example, here's what we said about the Week 2 line for Rams-Eagles, which had the home team favored by 3.5 points in Philadelphia: I think the could surprise some people on Sunday night, but this line will repost before the Sunday Night Football kickoff, so this comes down to how the look against Washington. And I have questions about the banged-up offense, which Duane Kuiper Jersey could lead to a low-scoring win in Washington. If that happens, this line should settle at Eagles -3 and perhaps move down from there should the Rams play well against the . What happened? The line reopened at Eagles -3 following their lo s to Washington, and after the betting public found out the Rams weren't a terrible team after they took down the Cowboys on Sunday night, the bottom fell out on the Eagles as favorites in their Week 2 matchup, with the game a pick 'em as of late Monday night. (Edit: The line moved to Rams -1 as of Tuesday morning.) Now, part of that may be the injuries that are piling up for the Eagles, but keep in mind that running back and right tackle weren't ruled out until Saturday and Sunday, respectively, so it's po sible Philadelphia is actually more healthy this coming Sunday than they were in their lo s to Washington. So Shaun Anderson Jersey while Friday's lookahead column gave us the opportunity to get ahead of the game on Week 2, here's where we'll check out the biggest spread movers for each game and see if there's any value to be had playing the way. Why would we do this? It's simple: barring injuries, these teams are not fundamentally different than the 32 rosters that marched into Week 1, so the market runs the risk of overreacting to 60 minutes of football that may not be indicative of what will happen moving forward. Below, we'll take a look at the biggest movers of the week from the lookahead numbers and try to figure out why the line has moved and whether there's value in fading said move. But first, here's the current spread, the line that re-opened on Sunday evening, and the lookahead number for every matchup. MatchupCurrentReopenLook CIN at CLE CLE -6 CLE -6 CLE -7.5 LAR at PHI LAR -1 PHI -3 PHI -3.5 NYG at CHI CHI -6 CHI -5.5 CHI -5.5 JAC at TEN TEN -9 TEN -11 TEN -11 CAR at TB TB -9 TB -8.5 TB -8 SF at NYJ SF -6.5 SF -6.5 SF -6 BUF at MIA BUF -5.5 BUF -4.5 BUF -3.5 DEN at PIT PIT -6.5 PIT -6 PIT -6 ATL at DAL DAL -5 DAL -6.5 DAL -6.5 DET at GB GB -6 GB -5.5 GB -6 MIN at IND IND -3 IND -3 IND -2.5 WAS at ARI ARI -6.5 Andrew Suarez Jersey ARI -6.5 ARI -6.5 BAL at HOU BAL -6.5 BAL -6.5 BAL -5 KC at LAC KC -8.5 KC -7.5 KC -6.5 NE at SEA SEA -4 SEA -4 SEA -3.5 NO at LV NO -6 NO -5.5 NO -4.5 Current: LAR -1| Reopen: PHI -3 | Lookahead: PHI -3.5 Why it moved: We've already discu sed this matchup above, but the Eagles' collapse after building a 17-0 lead early in the game combined with the Rams hanging on in a prime-time matchup against a Cowboys team that was long favorites in Week 1 before a line swing on gameday. Fade the move?It makes plenty of sense. If Johnson is back, the offensive line has a much better of succe s against the dangerous Rams front. If Sanders is back, the run game should have much more succe s. And the Philadelphia defense was better against Washington than the 27 unanswered points would suggest, allowing just 3.4 yards per play in the game. Current: KC -8.5| Reopen: KC -7.5 | Lookahead: KC -6.5 Why it moved: Have you seen the Chiefs? The Thursday night opener showed this could be yet another year where the Chiefs offense can name its point total on any given gameday, as they built a 31-7 fourth-quarter lead before the piled up some garbage-time points. Meanwhile, the Chargers only managed to score 16 Dereck Rodriguez Jersey points against a defense that no one had high expectations for. Fade the move? It's hard to tell anyone to fade the Chiefs, so I'm not going to do it here. But the Chargers have plenty of experience facing this dangerous offense, and with one of the better defenses in the league, there's at least a path to keep this final margin under a touchdown. Current: BUF -5.5| Reopen: BUF -4.5 | Lookahead: BUF -3.5 Why it moved: The Bills put together a dominant win over a team that might be spending plenty of time with the Dolphins in the basement of the AFC East this year. And the Dolphins had absolutely no answer for the , their other division rival with an elite defense. hamstring injury doesn't help, nor does having to be confirmed as the starter for Week 2 after his horrific performance. Fade the move?Absolutely. looked good, not great in Week 1, and he should have a tougher time against this new-look Dolphins defense. Plus Miami has Mel Ott Jersey been sneaky good at home in recent years, their awful start last year notwithstanding -- they went 4-1 ATS in their last five home games last year and won three of them outright despite being underdogs in all five. Current: TEN -9| Reopen: TEN -11 | Lookahead: TEN -11 Why it moved: Note that in this case that the line reopened with the same line after the Jaguars pulled off their upset, but it's now dropped two points following the Titans' squeaker of a win on Monday night that featured major concerns about their kicking game. So consider this a fade on the Titans being good enough to be double-digit favorites. Fade the move?I wouldn't. I thought Jacksonville was mispriced heading into the season, as there were reasons to be optimistic about the offense. Plus, while they lost plenty of talent over the last year-plus, most of those players didn't want to be in the building anyway.